April 2, 2025

Lunar eclipse casts shadow over US midterm elections

(26 October 2022)  With the approach the US midterm elections on Nov 8, polls are predicting a close race with Republicans (GOP) enjoying a slight edge.   Held two years after the presidential election, the midterms determine which party controls the two houses of Congress.  Currently, Democrats control both the House and the Senate, albeit by the narrowest of margins in the case of the Senate.  Polls are showing the GOP will easily win the House of Representatives, but the Senate looks much tighter.  Polls over the past two weeks have shown the GOP gaining ground on the Democrats with some aggregators now predicting a narrow GOP win with 51 or 52 seats out of 100.

From an astrological perspective, the Democrats definitely look vulnerable.  President Joe Biden’s chart is significantly afflicted during the run-up to the Nov 8 election.  Transiting Ketu is conjunct his natal Mars (19 Libra) in his 12th house of loss.  Ketu (South Lunar Node) is a natural malefic that symbolizes fast-changing and chaotic situations and its combination with a 12th house Mars looks difficult for Biden and the Democrats. Of course, the Ketu-Mars transit may not necessarily relate to the election result but given the importance of the election for the Biden platform, it nonetheless argues for a major setback for the Democrats.

Saturn (24 Capricorn), now having completed its retrograde cycle, is still locked in a heavy square aspect to Biden’s Mercury and Mars.  Given its slow speed and recent retrograde cycle, Saturn has been in this challenging aspect all year and is one obvious reason why Biden’s approval is remains submerged well below 50% as he struggles to deal with the political fallout of rising inflation and his administration’s blank check funding for the war in Ukraine.

One very intriguing fact about the midterm elections is that they will occur on the same day as a lunar eclipse.  On November 8, a lunar eclipse takes place at 21 degrees of sidereal Aries, thus forming an exact square with unpredictable Uranus and a slightly wider square with pessimistic Saturn.   While eclipses are normally associated with disruptions or suspensions of the status quo in any event, this Nov 8 eclipse is front-loaded with a potential for significant disruption and change.

 

But how to interpret this?  I think the most basic point here is that an election day eclipse occurring in an already-afflicted chart of the incumbent party leader strongly indicates a defeat for the Democrats and specifically, the loss of the Senate.  The conjunction by a freshly retrograde Mars to the Ascendant (1 Gemini) and natal Rahu of the horoscope of Vice-President Kamala Harris’ is additional evidence of the Democrats woes here at the end of October and beginning of November.

But at another level, the effect of an election day eclipse could also increase the risk of an uncertain or disputed outcome.  To be sure, contested election results have become all-too-common in the US these days as the patchwork quilt of state election laws make it more likely for the losing side to launch lawsuits and recounts.  So while the planets are pointing towards a Democrat defeat, they also increase the likelihood of some uncertainty that could last beyond election day and may include legal challenges to the outcome.

Weekly Market Forecast

US stocks have been in rebound mode in recent days as inflation fears have subsided somewhat and taken some of the pressure off the Fed.  This week’s rally appeared to coincide with a favorable solar eclipse which conjoined Venus at 8 degrees of sidereal Libra.  Tuesday’s eclipse was within one degree of Venus, which is considered to be a mostly bullish influence on sentiment.  In addition, Saturn has returned to its normal direct motion as of Oct 23 and thus offers a theoretical reason at least for a lessening of pessimism.

However, Mars is about to turn retrograde on Sunday, Oct 30.  Like Saturn, Mars tends to be a bearish planet when it becomes prominent, either by aspect or by condition.  The period around the retrograde station therefore brings an elevated downside risk for stocks.  We also note that this particular station of Mars at 1 Gemini will aspect Pluto within just one degree.  Mars-Pluto aspects tend to be bearish combinations in any event, and if we include the retrograde station into the mix, market risk would seem to be somewhat higher.

For more details, check out my weekly subscriber newsletter which is published every Saturday afternoon (EST).   In addition to reviewing the key planetary and technical influences on US and Indian stocks for the short and medium term, I also provide an astrological analysis of potential upcoming moves in currencies, gold and oil.

Photo Credit: David  

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