Total Trend 1 day ago 1 week ago
41-59 Neutral 43 44-48
Bearish 0-40; Neutral 40-60; Bullish 60-100
Comment: Bipolar Mercury — which one will show up tomorrow?
Stocks fell again on Thursday with the NASDAQ again leading the way down. Appropriately, the FAI score was lower (43) than previous days although still not quite bearish below 40. That is a sign perhaps that this pullback is only modest and temporary for now as the major indexes are only 2% off their all-time highs.
Friday is the US jobs report so a big move is more likely. There are a number of close alignments but the index score has a larger than normal range due to the Mercury-Saturn-Uranus grand trine alignment. Mercury is often a difficult planet to assess and it could go either way. The Venus-Mars square is within one degree so that is a negative. The Sun-Neptune opposition is another negative influence. The Moon will highlight the Sun-Neptune in the morning and hence cast a shadow over the open. Interestingly, by the close the Moon will have aligned itself more bullishly with Jupiter and Pluto.
Components:
Moon 8-14/20
Sun 3/10
Transit Alignments 10-14/25
NYSE Alignments 12-14/25
NASDAQ Alignments 8-14/20
Financial Astrology Index for Thursday, 6 September 2018
Financial Astrology Index for Wednesday, 5 September 2018
Financial Astrology Index for Tuesday, 4 September 2018
Financial Astrology Index for Friday 31 August 2018
Financial Astrology Index for Thursday, 30 August 2018
Financial Astrology Index for Wednesday, 29 August 2018
Financial Astrology Index for Tuesday, 28 August 2018
Financial Astrology Index for Friday, 24 August 2018
Financial Astrology Index for Thursday, 23 August 2018
Financial Astrology Index for Wednesday 22 August 2018
Financial Astrology Index for Tuesday 21 August 2018
Financial Astrology Index for Monday 20 August 2018
Financial Astrology Index for Friday 17 August 2018
Financial Astrology Index for Thursday 16 August 2018
Financial Astrology Index for Wednesday 15 August 2018
Financial Astrology Index for Tuesday 13/14 August 2018
Background and disclaimer (Updated 4 Sep 2018)
Can market probabilities be reduced to a single number? Given the large number of planetary variables involved, it is very difficult to distill the relative balance of optimism and pessimism into simple numerical form. The Financial Astrology Index (FAI) is my attempt to explore this possibility. The index has a theoretical range between 0 (all bearish) to 100 (all bullish). Most of time, it should move between 20 and 80. Readings above 60 should be considered bullish, while readings below 40 are bearish. Readings between 40 and 60 are neutral.
It may be read in a similar way to technical indicators such as the RSI and Stochastics which show overbought and oversold conditions in the market. A number above 80 is very bullish and suggests a strong up trend. In some situations (e.g. near resistance, in a bearish market), this may also indicate a heightened risk of a reversal lower. Alternatively, a falling FAI in a rising market can create a negative divergence which may be an indication of rising downside risk. Conversely, a rising FAI can set up a positive divergence against a backdrop of a bear market or market correction. This divergence could be signal that a rebound may come soon. The trend in the FAI is at least as important as the actual value in terms of understanding possible future price patterns.
As always, it is not intended as a substitute for established stock market technical indicators. If anything, it is intended to stand alongside them and should be treated as an additional source of information — just another tool in the investor’s toolkit.
Fair warning: this is still experimental and more of a work-in-progress. I will likely be tweaking the relative weights of the different factors as I go.
By way of disclaimer, let me state the obvious: do not use this index as a stand-alone method for investing. There are simply too many unknowns in astrology. Astrology is best used as a supplementary source of information in tandem with other technical and fundamental approaches. This is not to be taken as investment advice. For informational purposes only.
