Stocks dip ahead of the Saturn ingress into Aries

(1 February 2026)  Stocks were mostly lower last week amid market turbulence following the sudden crash of gold and silver prices.  While the blue chip S&P 500 managed to finish the week slightly higher, all the other major indexes lost ground including the small cap Russell 2000 which fell 2%. The decline broadly aligned with our model which suggested an elevated downside risk in and around the Mars-Pluto conjunction on Jan 27.  While our backtest showed only a modest average decline of -0.5% from this pairing, it nonetheless came very close to reaching statistical significance across several time intervals.  The updated cumulative trend chart below indicates an average and median underperformance for at least 6 days after the conjunction.  This...

The FOMC meeting and the Mars-Pluto conjunction

(25 January 2026) US stocks ended the week slightly lower as Greenland-related tariff fears briefly shook market confidence.  President Trump calmed the early week...

Bulls run the January gauntlet of Saturn’s sextiles

(18 January 2026) Stocks ended the week slightly lower as investors pondered the future of the Fed's independence after Trump's latest comments about Fed...

Assessing the upcoming Sun-Venus-Saturn alignment

(4 January 2026)  Stocks ended lower in the final week of 2025 as investors elected to take profits ahead of the turn in the...

A bullish start to the New Year?

(28 December 2025)  Stocks pushed higher last week as favorable holiday seasonality combined with strong GDP data to fuel gains in financials and industrials. ...

Confident action: the Sun-Mars conjunction

(21 December 2025) Stocks were mixed last week as the inflation rate ticked lower while manufacturing data showed more signs of weakness.  The NASDAQ...

Logical pessimism: Mercury meets Saturn in the NYSE chart

(14 December 2025)  US stocks slipped last week as skeptical investors moved money out of the AI sector and into value stocks following Wednesday's...

Aggressive idealism: the Mars-Neptune square

(7 December 2025) Stocks pushed higher again last week as new inflation data was in line with expectations and further boosted hopes for a...

Determined resilience: the Mars-Saturn square

(30 November 2025)  Stocks rallied strongly during Thanksgiving week on renewed hopes for an interest rate cut at the next Fed meeting on December...

Rational harmony: the Mercury-Venus conjunction

(23 November 2025)  Stocks moved lower last week as hopes for a December interest rate cut dwindled following hawkish comments from some Fed governors. ...

An excess of energy: the Mars-Rahu (North Node) square

(16 November 2025)  After a volatile week, US stocks finished largely unchanged as investors considered the possibility that the Fed may not cut rates...

Think fast: Mercury retrograde conjoins Mars

(9 November 2025) Stocks fell sharply last week as worsening consumer sentiment data signaled economic slowing and reignited recession worries.  Among the worst hit...

High octane: analyzing the risk profile of the Mars-Uranus opposition

(2 November 2025)  Stocks rebounded last week as the Fed delivered a widely-anticipated interest rate cut of 25 basis points.  While investors welcomed the...

The Jupiter-Saturn trine: measured expansion or dampened enthusiasm?

(26 October 2025)  US stocks reached new all-time highs last week as the latest round of inflation data was within consensus expectations. The current...

A tale of two triangles: a look at this week’s double Grand Trine

(19 October 2025)  Stocks rebounded last week after President Trump walked back his latest tariff threat against China.  Gold and silver also extended their...

After the sell-off: evaluating the Mercury-Mars conjunction

(12 October 2025)  Stocks fell sharply last week as the simmering trade war between the US and China was suddenly reignited following Trump's latest...

Double trouble: Venus under pressure — Week of 6 Oct 2025

(5 October 2025)  US stocks finished the week higher yet again on hopes that further rate cuts would keep the AI-driven economic expansion going...

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