(29 March 2026) Another week, another failed rebound.  Stocks fell for the fifth straight week as hopes evaporated for a quick resolution to the US/Israel-Iran conflict.  The growing likelihood of US troops on the ground only added to the market’s pessimism as the interruption to the world’s energy supply could drag on for months.

While I had been cautious about last week, the extent of the late week selling was surprising. We did see some expected early week gains on the Sun-Saturn-Pluto alignment and the positive after-effects of Mercury’s reversal from retrograde to direct motion on March 20, but the gains did not hold.   The ongoing triple conjunction of Mercury, Mars and the North Lunar Node may have had the last word once again.

The updated cumulative trend chart below underscores the negative potential of this triple conjunction.  Of course, the current alignment has been far more bearish than the average of previous alignments.  Nonetheless, the negative bias in the days following the conjunction has been confirmed by the current pullback.   The charts indicate that the the average and median interim lows occur around 18 days after the triple conjunction, which would be April 3 for the current case.  This doesn’t mean that stocks will continue to fall this week since each conjunction has unique co-factors and follows its own trajectory.  But it does hint at the risk of further downside in the near term…

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