Assessing the upcoming Sun-Venus-Saturn alignment

(4 January 2026)  Stocks ended lower in the final week of 2025 as investors elected to take profits ahead of the turn in the calendar.  I had been uncertain about last week given the mix of active influences.  The bearish effect of the Mars-Neptune square was at the end of its active range last week but could have played a role in the pullback.  However, the upcoming Sun-Mars-Venus conjunction on January 9 offered the possibility of offsetting other negatives, and that may well have boosted sentiment on Friday, the first trading day of 2026.

The triple conjunction of Sun, Mars and Venus may well play a more bullish role this week.  My analysis showed it had a statistically significant bullish influence on stocks both before and after the exact conjunction.  The average gain for this conjunction was close to 4% over a 60-day period — 30 days before and 30 days after.  Since the standard deviation was about 3% for most intervals, this yielded p-values much less than the threshold of 0.05.  Therefore, the bullish effect was statistically significant, especially during the period after the exact conjunction (Jan 9 in our current scenario).   Of course, the relatively small sample size of 15 cases should give us pause but the low p-values reflect the consistently bullish effect…

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